Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 7.422879 8.624339 9.920031 11.416614 13.092793 14.907436 17.015621
2025-12-07 5.741137 7.333000 9.179743 11.462579 14.189542 17.322933 21.174656
2025-12-14 4.766642 6.552085 8.742021 11.588969 15.152091 19.422180 24.880147
2025-12-21 4.031526 5.909483 8.326402 11.605157 15.870349 21.159833 28.135485
2025-12-28 3.585017 5.558252 8.205395 11.928397 16.929871 23.309181 31.937833
2026-01-04 3.192136 5.216857 8.039811 12.143184 17.817763 25.238709 35.502362
2026-01-11 2.817126 4.846429 7.782881 12.186993 18.445100 26.820684 38.643653
2026-01-18 2.398792 4.354153 7.294456 11.847285 18.495768 27.600840 40.714686
2026-01-25 2.065841 3.950314 6.890597 11.582974 18.612324 28.445886 42.872392
2026-02-01 1.774548 3.575317 6.489848 11.280580 18.636420 29.138164 44.816624
2026-02-08 1.530557 3.247878 6.129164 11.002679 18.664278 29.815419 46.739235
2026-02-15 1.307630 2.927083 5.745601 10.651959 18.548072 30.260557 48.323825
2026-02-22 1.180381 2.769676 5.625594 10.721656 19.088479 31.699583 51.412267
2026-03-01 1.062698 2.614830 5.494455 10.759840 19.574930 33.069590 54.438612
2026-03-08 0.970109 2.497393 5.417477 10.879709 20.190476 34.648142 57.814023
2026-03-15 0.874157 2.359075 5.287818 10.895077 20.628870 35.961085 60.819969
2026-03-22 0.823224 2.311431 5.323613 11.202105 21.559825 38.065271 65.082659
2026-03-29 0.765125 2.239426 5.304800 11.406163 22.321343 39.921336 69.009279
2026-04-05 0.695718 2.130816 5.202800 11.447787 22.802001 41.339283 72.288267
2026-04-12 0.599563 1.941731 4.918339 11.125054 22.629250 41.690286 73.895618
2026-04-19 0.521297 1.783742 4.681764 10.874010 22.564045 42.204895 75.764326
2026-04-26 0.449652 1.629760 4.437051 10.586862 22.414362 42.566321 77.387129
2026-05-03 0.388381 1.492213 4.213337 10.323037 22.288867 42.955796 79.055434